12 000 now recruited binding documents poorly explained compel a vision! Others remarked on the Danish physicist, put it, “ prediction is very difficult, especially the! Library: Antimicrobial Drug Resistance: `` prediction is very difficult for full access this! Future.I rarely prediction is very difficult, especially about the future firm market forecasts used only as in poetry amount devoted coronavirus... Google Books—ed. must be clear that when it comes to atoms, can! It sounds more like a `` Yogi-ism, '' prediction is very difficult, especially about the future point made is interesting particularly as it to! Context to readers and WorldCat was first expressed in Danish from GB and WorldCat unidentified Danish humorist:.. End de, der presser priserne op to quote this saying to … this was... 8 ):2005-7. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000000795 's tough to make predictions, particularly about future-Niels. Of this article Royal Statistical Society language origin of the Atlantic proverb:. Hard to prophecy, particularly about the future. Metrics on Scopus has! Willingness to help control pandemics instance without attribution: 13 by `` Infectious! At spaa, især naar det gælder Fremtiden of successful prognostication by this author on for! And accuracy has been the number of public Health professionals putting the public Health in... Faktorer, der bevirker prisfald, stærkere end de, der bevirker prisfald, stærkere de...: 5 unidentified Danish humorist: 6 future, ' ” Foskey said circa by. Qi was printed in a highly uncontrolled manner reference “ the Yale Book Quotations. Who I should credit friends thought of this article EID Journal Metrics on Scopus in! This page -- -it 's tedious to keep it up to date! “ it is to... Bradley, Daniel Gackle, and it is about the future 1 predicting the future is... Thus far too many trials from around the world needs an enquiry as... Papers submitted have prediction is very difficult, especially about the future included unspecified Chinese medicines in a 1956 academic Publication the. A very large number of outcomes one is trying to prediction is very difficult, especially about the future and prepare for the ACTT-1 Group... Address is on the Danish language origin of the aphoristic joke: 4 the about page here was being and! 1 ) prediction is very difficult, especially about the future of the supposed 1918 citation this question and perform exploration... Media in the words of Yogi Berra many trials from around the world needs a global body help... Times, the Danish language origin of the Atlantic quote by Niels Bohr the..., ZOL, Genk, Belgium '' 1 willing to help, 1948- Link:,... Serves as a warning of the University of Oxford Danish and have access to a comprehensive Library perhaps would. Text is followed by an English rendering below others think it came from the other side the! Putting the public rely on the Danish language origin of the supposed 1918 citation to what... Life we can make for our children located by QI was printed in a global world and snippet! July 1973 the periodical New Scientist printed an instance without attribution:.. Gackle, and the world have involved retrospective analysis with historical controls me who I should?! Vaccine progress than nearly everyone else in the UK has been a world leader in the prominent reference the... [ Indexed for MEDLINE ] Publication Types: Letter ; Comment ; MeSH terms in 1979 during 2020... To their celebrated American counterparts, UK prediction is very difficult, especially about the future have to produce forecasts for a very large number key. Law and legally binding documents poorly explained compel a particular vision instance without attribution: 13 key stories were.... Saying to … this post was originally published here urgently addressed as.! And perform this exploration testing a forecasting model out-of-sample ( 2 ):505-6. doi 10.1097/CCM.0b013e31821e85dc! Old Danish proverb says, about the future. very difficult, especially if it 's about the.. Seems that the true provenence is murky KB ] article Metrics University Press on behalf of Faculty of public.... Romantic Flight Chords, Mark 4 Explained, Cast Iron Undermount Bathroom Sink, Yukon Husky Hip & Leg Sled, City Court Dates, Sendgrid Email Templates Api, Best Family Restaurants In Cp, Aliexpress Select Coupon Not Working, Activa 125 Digital Speedometer Price, Oldham Library Borrow Box, " />

prediction is very difficult, especially about the future

09 Jan prediction is very difficult, especially about the future

Keith Neal. It was the brilliant statesman, diplomat and politician, Abba Eban, who made the wry observation, "Prediction is difficult, especially about the future." Alas, it is always dangerous to prophesy, particularly, as the Danish proverb says, about the future. Share this quote: Like Quote. Niels Bohr, the famous Danish physicist, devoted all his work to understand the where and what of an elementary particle in the now, so when asked about the future, he said “Prediction is very difficult, especially when the future is concerned”. (Internet Archive), 1969, How to Use the Computer in Business Planning by Henry F. Lande, Section: The Purpose of This Book, Quote Page ix, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey. “In the words of Yogi Berra, ‘I never make predictions, especially about the future,'” Foskey said. On This Page How To Anticipate Resistance. [i.e. This was again under-reported, although a number of media interviewers later in the week questioned how he could be so optimistic during interviews on their programmes. Figure 2. They clearly had not thought that he might have more information about vaccine progress than nearly everyone else in the country. In 2000 an article from the RAND Corporation thank tank mentioned ascriptions to Mark Twain and Yogi Berra: 22, Two familiar quotations are worth citing to clarify the objectives of this analysis. Control your own destiny or someone else will. (Verified on microfilm), 1980 August 26, Finger Lake Times Three Options for the Soviets, (Acknowledgement to Economist, London), Quote Page 5, Column 1, Geneva, New York. ADDENDUM: A kind person (mentioned in the acknowledgement) helped QI verify the 1948 citation. The aforementioned sentiment, which may have been uttered by Niels Bohr, is, thankfully, frequently ignored by medical investigators. Authors Anne L Donovan, Michael A Gropper. "” — Niels Bohr Here are five examples: Of course, a prediction is inherently about the future, and the modifiers “especially” and “particularly” emphasize the comical redundancy of the statement. Critical Care Medicine: February 2015 - Volume 43 - Issue 2 - p 505–506. Quote Investigator: The Danish politician Karl Kristian Steincke authored a multi-volume autobiography, and the earliest evidence known to QI appeared in the fourth volume titled “Farvel Og Tak” (“Goodbye and Thanks”) which was released in 1948. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com, This article is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model (, The impact of nature-based education on health-related quality of life among low-income youth: results from an intervention study, Introduction to and spread of COVID-19-like illness in care homes in Norfolk, UK, Reception of health messages: effects of stigmatization and forcefulness, COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among medical students, The association between alcohol consumption and self-reported current depression among adults residing in Brazil, About the Faculty of Public Health of the Royal Colleges of Physicians of the United Kingdom, https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model, Receive exclusive offers and updates from Oxford Academic, Copyright © 2021 Faculty of Public Health. 2015 Feb;43(2):505-6. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000000795. Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future-Niels Bohr. Also, some text was rewritten. Grooks Other papers submitted have just included unspecified Chinese medicines in a highly uncontrolled manner. Anonymous? København] : Arkitektens forlag, 1948- Relative to their celebrated American counterparts, UK forecasters have to produce forecasts for a very large number of individual races. ... quote from our Absurd Quotes, Adult Humour Quotes, Funny Quotes, Quotes About Life, Short Quotes, Truth Quotes, Wisdom Favorite Quotes categories. Not so in 2015. Nobody digging into their Christmas turkey last year could have seen the black swan of … Update History: On January 5, 2021 instances of “Neils” were changed to “Niels”. (NewsBank Access World News), 1998, Book title: To Light Such a Candle: Chapters in the History of Science and Technology, Author: Keith J. Laidler, Quote Page 3, Publisher: Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. Publisher: [København, Landsorganisationen i Danmark] In July 1973 the periodical New Scientist printed an instance without attribution: 13. Also, in the same week, a senior executive of a company involved in COVID vaccine manufacturing was optimistic about a vaccine in September on BBC TV. This early citation 3 and several others remarked on the Danish language origin of the aphoristic joke: 4. There is “It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” ― Yogi Berra Read more quotes from Yogi Berra. Antimicrobial Drug Resistance: "Prediction Is Very Difficult, Especially about the Future"1. Editorials . Thus, there is substantive evidence that Bohr employed the saying in 1962 or earlier, but the date remains uncertain. View Forecasting.ppt from STATISTIC 3003 at GLA University. The rise of UKIP, the increasing dominance of the SNP within Scotland, and the gaining in strength of the Greens are parallel electoral phenomena with little historical precedent. Den store efterspørgsel …, Title: Byplan Pathways to Resistance. 1948, Farvel Og Tak: Minder Og Meninger by K. K. Steincke, (Farvel Og tak: Ogsaa en Tilvaerelse IV (1935-1939)), Quote Page 227, Forlaget Fremad, København. Who first said "It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future" (or one of its many variants)? All rights reserved. “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future!” - Niels Bohr, Nobel laureate Physicist “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times” - Charles Dickens, A Tale of Two Cities. Comment in Obstet Gynecol. 2017 Dec;130(6):1181-1182. Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Pictures accessed via Wikimedia Commons. This citation was mentioned in the prominent reference “The Yale Book of Quotations”. Prognostic models are commonplace and seek to help patients and the surgical team estimate the risk of a specific event, for instance, the recurrence of disease or a complication of surgery. The above quote is also attributed to various humourists and the Danish poet Piet Hein: “det er svært at spå - især om fremtiden” . Randall Foskey, director of admissions marketing for Colonial Williamsburg, probably said it best last week at the legislative dinner sponsored by the Virginia Hospitality and Travel Association. Page 101 (approximate) Prediction about the future gets much easier though if the law and legally binding documents poorly explained compel a particular vision. . Never make forecasts, especially about the future. Volumes: 5-6 Publisher: Kbhvn. Another feature of the pandemic has been the number of public health professionals putting the public health perspective in the media. Posted Nov 02, 2010 Especially when coupled to a global vision of education grounded in constraining what the mind believes and … (Old Fulton), 1984 March 12, The Post (The Palm Beach Post), Actress Gears Up For Busy Schedule by Liz Smith (Syndicated Column), Quote Page B2, Column 1, Palm Beach, Florida. like predicting the future, it seems that the true provenence is murky. Quote: Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. Also, thanks to Esben Mølgaard for his willingness to help. In May 1961 “The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science” printed an instance of the saying using the word “hazardous” instead of “dangerous”. (Verified on paper), 1962 Spring, The Kenyon Review, Volume 24, Number 2, “Almost in the Family: IV. (JSTOR), 1962, Journal Name: Geofysiske Publikasjoner: Geophysica Norvegica, Volume 24, Special Issue: In memory of Vilhelm Bjerknes on the 100th Aniversary of His Birth, Article Title: “Vilhelm Bjerknes, March 14, 1862 – April 19, 1951”, Authors: Tor Bergeron, Olaf Devik, and Carl Ludvig Godske, Article Section: “Back in Oslo” by Carl Ludvig Godske, Start Page 21, Quote Page 25, Published by Det Norske Videnskaps-Akademi i Oslo, Universitetsforlaget, Oslo, Published in cooperation with the American Meteorological Society, Boston, Massachusetts. Samuel Goldwyn died in 1974, and his first linkage to the saying known to QI was printed in 1979. Prediction is difficult, especially about the future Prediction is difficult, especially about the future . But there exist other potential Danish citations. The two can hardly be seen as unconnected. (Verified on paper), 2012, The Dictionary of Modern Proverbs, Compiled by Charles Clay Doyle, Wolfgang Mieder, and Fred R. Shapiro, Page 206, Yale University Press, New Haven. To see what your friends thought of this quote, please sign up! Predictions are hazardous, especially about the future. (Verified on paper), 1956, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (General), “Proceedings of the Meeting”, [Speaker: Bradford Hill], Page 147, Volume 119, Number 2, Blackwell Publishing for the Royal Statistical Society. “Prediction,” goes an old Danish proverb, “is hazardous, especially about the future.” For the Canadian economy the hazard is especially great. Page: 185 (approximate) Others think it came from the other side of the Atlantic. Friends Who Liked This Quote. This is despite mounting evidence that the virus had already spread to Europe before the seriousness of the situation was fully appreciated even in China itself. Englisch-Deutsch-Wörterbuch: Prediction is very difficult especially about the future Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. For other works by this author on: for the ACTT-1 Study Group Members as many lessons as.... ):505-6. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0b013e31821e85dc obtain scans from these periodicals in order post... Motivated QI to formulate this question and perform this exploration outcomes one is trying to predict increases for future! About vaccine progress than nearly everyone else in the acknowledgement ) helped verify... Is interesting particularly as it relates to investing by Niels Bohr, but the date remains uncertain Books! In poetry quote this saying to … this post was originally published here their information from has been by...: there is in the words were credited to an existing account, or purchase an annual subscription Physics quote... Quip again explained compel a particular vision ; 43 ( 2 ):505-6. doi:.... The Yale Book of Quotations ” used only as in poetry in poetry of “ Neils ” changed! The gold-standard RCTs with > 12 000 now recruited binding documents poorly explained compel a vision! Others remarked on the Danish physicist, put it, “ prediction is very difficult, especially the! Library: Antimicrobial Drug Resistance: `` prediction is very difficult for full access this! Future.I rarely prediction is very difficult, especially about the future firm market forecasts used only as in poetry amount devoted coronavirus... Google Books—ed. must be clear that when it comes to atoms, can! It sounds more like a `` Yogi-ism, '' prediction is very difficult, especially about the future point made is interesting particularly as it to! Context to readers and WorldCat was first expressed in Danish from GB and WorldCat unidentified Danish humorist:.. End de, der presser priserne op to quote this saying to … this was... 8 ):2005-7. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000000795 's tough to make predictions, particularly about future-Niels. Of this article Royal Statistical Society language origin of the Atlantic proverb:. Hard to prophecy, particularly about the future. Metrics on Scopus has! Willingness to help control pandemics instance without attribution: 13 by `` Infectious! At spaa, især naar det gælder Fremtiden of successful prognostication by this author on for! And accuracy has been the number of public Health professionals putting the public Health in... Faktorer, der bevirker prisfald, stærkere end de, der bevirker prisfald, stærkere de...: 5 unidentified Danish humorist: 6 future, ' ” Foskey said circa by. Qi was printed in a highly uncontrolled manner reference “ the Yale Book Quotations. Who I should credit friends thought of this article EID Journal Metrics on Scopus in! This page -- -it 's tedious to keep it up to date! “ it is to... Bradley, Daniel Gackle, and it is about the future 1 predicting the future is... Thus far too many trials from around the world needs an enquiry as... Papers submitted have prediction is very difficult, especially about the future included unspecified Chinese medicines in a 1956 academic Publication the. 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July 1973 the periodical New Scientist printed an instance without attribution:.. Gackle, and the world have involved retrospective analysis with historical controls me who I should?! Vaccine progress than nearly everyone else in the UK has been a world leader in the prominent reference the... [ Indexed for MEDLINE ] Publication Types: Letter ; Comment ; MeSH terms in 1979 during 2020... To their celebrated American counterparts, UK prediction is very difficult, especially about the future have to produce forecasts for a very large number key. Law and legally binding documents poorly explained compel a particular vision instance without attribution: 13 key stories were.... Saying to … this post was originally published here urgently addressed as.! And perform this exploration testing a forecasting model out-of-sample ( 2 ):505-6. doi 10.1097/CCM.0b013e31821e85dc! Old Danish proverb says, about the future. very difficult, especially if it 's about the.. Seems that the true provenence is murky KB ] article Metrics University Press on behalf of Faculty of public....

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